Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.038649 0.041776 0.045062 0.048777 0.052866 0.057237 0.062271
2025-03-30 0.033413 0.037788 0.042642 0.048447 0.055227 0.062931 0.072394
2025-04-06 0.029526 0.034519 0.040285 0.047479 0.056273 0.066752 0.080296
2025-04-13 0.027394 0.032915 0.039506 0.048025 0.058852 0.072293 0.090464
2025-04-20 0.025462 0.031296 0.038458 0.047999 0.060532 0.076653 0.099323
2025-04-27 0.024147 0.030290 0.038022 0.048608 0.062941 0.081996 0.109801
2025-05-04 0.022685 0.028959 0.037027 0.048338 0.064068 0.085602 0.118083
2025-05-11 0.021453 0.027824 0.036182 0.048157 0.065228 0.089246 0.126629
2025-05-18 0.020327 0.026748 0.035324 0.047860 0.066144 0.092535 0.134845
2025-05-25 0.019386 0.025858 0.034648 0.047744 0.067266 0.096143 0.143786
2025-06-01 0.018346 0.024765 0.033614 0.047024 0.067410 0.098240 0.150455
2025-06-08 0.017349 0.023676 0.032521 0.046133 0.067206 0.099740 0.156215
2025-06-15 0.016548 0.022836 0.031748 0.045687 0.067672 0.102352 0.164123
2025-06-22 0.015811 0.022051 0.031014 0.045249 0.068109 0.104929 0.172186
2025-06-29 0.015002 0.021119 0.030011 0.044327 0.067693 0.106042 0.177718
2025-07-06 0.014624 0.020808 0.029920 0.044823 0.069605 0.111179 0.191001
2025-07-13 0.014141 0.020315 0.029523 0.044798 0.070632 0.114844 0.201863
2025-07-20 0.013832 0.020070 0.029493 0.045357 0.072673 0.120423 0.216927
2025-07-27 0.013355 0.019543 0.028994 0.045109 0.073288 0.123464 0.227255
2025-08-03 0.012927 0.019074 0.028561 0.044942 0.074026 0.126766 0.238416
2025-08-10 0.012501 0.018590 0.028082 0.044669 0.074546 0.129679 0.249037
2025-08-17 0.012135 0.018187 0.027714 0.044562 0.075354 0.133187 0.261269
2025-08-24 0.011677 0.017617 0.027049 0.043900 0.075088 0.134572 0.268966